Skip to main content
State of CompetitionAR-SC-2026-01

The U.S. Competition Landscape

State of Competition 2026: five evidence systems, no single score

Central finding

Public evidence does not support a single national competition score.

Descriptive concentration measures do not by themselves establish competitive harm, unlawful conduct, or a causal effect.

14
sources
8
markets
5
threshold review

Publication accountability

Recorded source access / review
. This is not an independent review date.
Authorship and responsibility
Antitrust Radar Research Team. Inspect individual roles and disclosure gaps.
Evidence overview

Report evidence navigator

Five evidence systems, kept analytically distinct.

Open data

Defined market signals

Curated dossiers show concentration and public-data gaps side by side.

8 of 12 tracked product-market profiles publish HHI, and all 8 currently read as highly concentrated. The remaining 4 profiles preserve missing firm-level shares instead of manufacturing a score.

12
Tracked markets
7
Highly concentrated
4
HHI gaps
Interpretation boundaryMarket definitions, share denominators, vintages, and evidence status differ across dossiers.
Sources, citations, and policy proposals

Public action docket

What government can require next

4 asks

ForFTC, DOJ, Congress, state attorneys general, and public data agencies

  1. 01
    Publish a recurring competition data inventory

    Coordinate agency releases across industry concentration, state markets, merger activity, and enforcement records with stable identifiers, machine-readable tables, and documented update schedules.

  2. 02
    Pair screens with exact analytical scope

    Every public concentration statistic should travel with its product or industry universe, geography, denominator, vintage, source status, and residual-category treatment.

  3. 03
    Turn missing shares into disclosure priorities

    Prioritize firm-level public reporting where essential markets remain visible only through aggregate shares, usage proxies, or local ownership fragments.

Evidence still needed

Stable cross-agency market identifiersFirm-level shares and residual-category rulesComparable local ownership and control records
Open advocacy brief

Reader packet

Reusable

Canonical citation

Antitrust Radar Research Team. (2026, July 19). The U.S. Competition Landscape: State of Competition 2026: five evidence systems, no single score. State of Competition, AR-SC-2026-01 (Version 1.0). Antitrust Radar. https://antitrustradar.org/reports/us-competition-landscape-2026

JSONCSV
BibTeXRIS

Source basis

2022 and 2017 U.S. Economic Census industry concentration tables, USDA ERS historical meatpacking CR4, KFF 2024 state individual-market HHI, FDIC 2025 statewide and county Summary of Deposits screens, the FY2025 FTC/DOJ HSR report, and source-backed market and enforcement records.

14

Source records

8

Related markets

3

agency report, public dataset, academic paper

Source types

5

Evidence asks

Read the briefing

Evidence index

Claim to public action

Published Jul 19, 2026 · sources through Jul 19, 2026 · version 1.0 · Current edition

National evidence architecture

Five systems. One inspectable public record. No composite score.

Compare what each system measures, its current descriptive signal, and the boundary that must survive interpretation.
05 systemsreader-controlled

01 / Defined market signals

Curated dossiers show concentration and public-data gaps side by side.

8 of 12 tracked product-market profiles publish HHI, and all 8 currently read as highly concentrated. The remaining 4 profiles preserve missing firm-level shares instead of manufacturing a score.
Tracked markets
12
Highly concentrated
7
HHI gaps
4

Interpretation boundaryMarket definitions, share denominators, vintages, and evidence status differ across dossiers.

System 1 of 5 Exact public values No cross-system averagingOpen market pulse

Executive summary

Public evidence does not support a single national competition score. The clearest picture comes from five bounded systems. Among eight curated markets, four current profiles publish highly concentrated readings while four withhold HHI because public shares are incomplete or aggregate. The 2022 Economic Census publishes revenue-based HHI for 679 of 899 detailed six-digit industries, with a median of 284 among published rows; strict 2017-2022 comparisons remain a separate history lens. KFF's 2024 individual-market data place median state HHI at 3,414 and 36 of 51 jurisdictions above 2,500. A separately bounded 2025 FDIC screen places median statewide branch-deposit HHI at 903, with 5 of 51 jurisdictions above 2,500. A deeper FDIC layer publishes 3,104 county and county-equivalent branch-deposit screens with a median HHI of 2,826; 1,792 exceed 2,500 and 187 contain one reported organization. Banking markets are often local, but county boundaries may not match them, so both FDIC layers remain screens rather than legal market definitions. USDA's historical national beef-packer CR4 adds a buyer-side concentration anchor while remaining distinct from individual packer shares, regional cattle procurement markets, and the related Census slaughtering-industry revenue screen. The FY2025 HSR report records 2,006 reported transactions and a 2.1% Second Request rate among adjusted transactions. Dated enforcement records add procedure and institutional context, not causal proof. Read together, these systems identify where scrutiny and public disclosure are most valuable. Read as one composite, they would erase market definition, geography, vintage, and legal meaning. This report therefore presents a national competition landscape with explicit handoffs to the underlying markets, industries, state and local screens, merger series, policy records, and source dossiers.

7 / 12

highly concentrated curated markets

8 profiles publish HHI; 4 preserve an explicit public-data gap.

National market profile

679 / 899

detailed industries with HHI

The published 2022 six-digit distribution has a median HHI of 284.

2022 Economic Census

2 / 102

state systems / observations

Median HHI is 3,414 for 2024 individual insurance and 903 for the separate 2025 statewide bank-deposit screen.

KFF + FDIC

2,006

FY2025 reported transactions

2.1% Second Request rate among adjusted transactions; review is not a finding of harm.

FTC / DOJ HSR report

14

dated enforcement records

Complaints, inquiries, decisions, remedies, reports, and settlements remain procedurally distinct.

Official chronology

45

profile-linked source records

5,153 reusable rows travel through domain-specific JSON and CSV handoffs.

Public evidence ledger

Research map

What this briefing connects

  • Executive synthesis
  • Defined market signals
  • Industry structure
  • Geographic concentration
  • Merger pipeline
  • Enforcement record
  • Public evidence agenda

Source basis

2022 and 2017 U.S. Economic Census industry concentration tables, USDA ERS historical meatpacking CR4, KFF 2024 state individual-market HHI, FDIC 2025 statewide and county Summary of Deposits screens, the FY2025 FTC/DOJ HSR report, and source-backed market and enforcement records.

Related markets

Methodology and limits matter

This report uses public records and descriptive concentration indicators. It does not claim a legal market definition by itself, and readers should evaluate source vintage, geography, missing firms, and whether the public data measures usage, revenue, prescriptions, passengers, or another proxy.

Source basis

2022 and 2017 U.S. Economic Census industry concentration tables, USDA ERS historical meatpacking CR4, KFF 2024 state individual-market HHI, FDIC 2025 statewide and county Summary of Deposits screens, the FY2025 FTC/DOJ HSR report, and source-backed market and enforcement records.

Source register

14 cited public records

01 / 14
agency report2024

Source 01

2024 Communications Marketplace Report

Federal Communications Commission

Federal Communications Commission, 2024 Communications Marketplace Report, FCC 24-136, released December 31 2024.

Biennial FCC report on competition across communications markets including mobile wireless HHI.

Accessed
May 16, 2026
Custody
Public federal government report

Related reports

Research actions

Public action memoNear-term

What public institutions should do next

National competition policy needs a shared evidence infrastructure that preserves market definition, geography, vintage, and procedural posture instead of compressing unlike signals into one score.

Audience

FTC, DOJ, Congress, state attorneys general, and public data agencies

1Publish a recurring competition data inventoryCoordinate agency releases across industry concentration, state markets, merger activity, and enforcement records with stable identifiers, machine-readable tables, and documented update schedules.
2Pair screens with exact analytical scopeEvery public concentration statistic should travel with its product or industry universe, geography, denominator, vintage, source status, and residual-category treatment.
3Turn missing shares into disclosure prioritiesPrioritize firm-level public reporting where essential markets remain visible only through aggregate shares, usage proxies, or local ownership fragments.
4Evaluate enforcement with outcome evidenceKeep complaints, decisions, remedies, and monitoring records procedurally distinct, then fund later measurement of prices, entry, quality, choice, and innovation.
Evidence needed
Stable cross-agency market identifiersFirm-level shares and residual-category rulesComparable local ownership and control recordsMerger notification and review outcome tablesPost-remedy competition outcome measures
Connect to advocacy playbooks

Policy claims are framed as public-interest asks, not legal conclusions. Each ask should be read with the report’s source basis and limitations.