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Hart-Scott-Rodino program two-anchor observed comparisonFY2024 3.0% to FY2025 2.1%, a decrease of -0.90 pp. The vertical placement is normalized to this two-point comparison and is not a shared scale.PRIOR ANCHORLATEST ANCHOR

Canonical research dossier

Q45 / Federal merger activity / Review process context

How did transaction mix, clearance, adjusted denominators, and agency review practice change alongside the observed rate?

Hart-Scott-Rodino program / Second Request rate
FY2024
3.0%
prior anchor
Observed change
-0.90 pp
1 year
FY2025
2.1%
latest anchor
Current custody
1
source record
Observed comparisonExact values, periods, metric, unit, and universe stay attached.
Research questionThe monitor question is preserved verbatim as a bounded program of inquiry.
Evidence to collectDeclared requests are future work, not established evidence or findings.
Evidence standard

Published signal

The observation behind the question

Latest reported federal fiscal year versus the immediately preceding fiscal year in the same HSR annual report series.
FY20243.0%prior
-0.90 ppDecrease
FY20252.1%latest
Observed signalSecond Request rate moved from 3.0% in FY2024 to 2.1% in FY2025 (-0.90 percentage points).

The latest reported review rate is lower than the prior fiscal year. This is a program-activity comparison, not a finding about merger harm or enforcement effectiveness.

Second Requests and public enforcement actions are different stages with different timing rules. Their counts must not be treated as a finding that every reviewed or reported transaction was anticompetitive.

Declared empirical track

Review process context

Test whether transaction mix, clearance, adjusted denominators, or agency practice moved alongside the review rate.
Evidence base
10 annual records / FY2016-FY2025
Data status
verified
Confidence
high
Metric family
hsr-second-request-rate

Evidence to collect

4 declared requests
  1. 01

    Adjusted transaction denominators, clearance counts, and agency allocation for both fiscal years.

  2. 02

    Transaction-size and industry mix for matters entering the review pipeline.

  3. 03

    Review-practice, process-rule, staffing, and reporting changes across the interval.

  4. 04

    Second Requests, complaints, settlements, abandonments, and other outcomes kept as separate measures.

These requests define collection work. Their inclusion does not assert that the records exist, support a claim, or establish a cause.

Current source custody

Evidence already attached to the observed signal

Collection requests above remain separate from these published source records.

Second Requests and public enforcement actions are different stages with different timing rules. Their counts must not be treated as a finding that every reviewed or reported transaction was anticompetitive.