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United States business dynamics two-anchor observed comparison2022 9.5% to 2023 9.4%, a decrease of -0.12 pp. The vertical placement is normalized to this two-point comparison and is not a shared scale.PRIOR ANCHORLATEST ANCHOR

Canonical research dossier

Q02 / Business dynamics / Business-flow context

Which sectors, firm-age groups, places, closures, or ownership transitions account for the latest national exit-rate movement?

United States business dynamics / Establishment exit rate
2022
9.5%
prior anchor
Observed change
-0.12 pp
1 year
2023
9.4%
latest anchor
Current custody
1
source record
Observed comparisonExact values, periods, metric, unit, and universe stay attached.
Research questionThe monitor question is preserved verbatim as a bounded program of inquiry.
Evidence to collectDeclared requests are future work, not established evidence or findings.
Evidence standard

Published signal

The observation behind the question

Latest published Census BDS year versus the immediately preceding national annual record; the full 1978-2023 history remains available in the underlying explorer.
20229.5%prior
-0.12 ppDecrease
20239.4%latest
Observed signalEstablishment exit rate moved from 9.5% in 2022 to 9.4% in 2023 (-0.116 percentage points).

The latest published national exit rate is lower than the prior annual BDS record. This business-flow movement does not measure concentration, market power, or a competitive cause.

Business Dynamics Statistics measure establishment, firm, and job flows within published national and NAICS-sector universes. They do not measure concentration, market power, legal antitrust markets, or the competitive cause of entry, exit, creation, or destruction.

Declared empirical track

Business-flow context

Disaggregate national entry, exit, job-flow, and reallocation movement by sector, place, and firm age before proposing a competitive mechanism.
Evidence base
46 national annual records / 1978-2023
Data status
verified
Confidence
high
Metric family
establishment-exit-rate

Evidence to collect

4 declared requests
  1. 01

    National and broad-sector BDS rows for both annual anchors using the same published rate definition.

  2. 02

    Firm-age, establishment-age, state, and industry decompositions that can localize the aggregate movement.

  3. 03

    Entry, exit, opening, closure, expansion, contraction, creation, and destruction components kept separately identified.

  4. 04

    Financing, demand, technology, regulation, ownership, and merger context tested without treating co-movement as a competitive cause.

These requests define collection work. Their inclusion does not assert that the records exist, support a claim, or establish a cause.

Current source custody

Evidence already attached to the observed signal

Collection requests above remain separate from these published source records.
U.S. Census Bureau2023 Business Dynamics StatisticsSource profile

Business Dynamics Statistics measure establishment, firm, and job flows within published national and NAICS-sector universes. They do not measure concentration, market power, legal antitrust markets, or the competitive cause of entry, exit, creation, or destruction.

Research handoffs

Keep the question connected to its evidence system

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